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This FAO report explores alternative futures for food and agriculture through a scenario-based analysis extending to 2050. It asks how different combinations of economic, social, technological, and environmental change could affect the capacity of food systems to meet future demand.
The study explains its modelling approach and the assumptions used for population, income, consumption, crop yields, livestock, fisheries, land, water, and greenhouse-gas emissions. It then compares results for agricultural production, prices, wages, trade, resource use, and undernourishment under contrasting pathways.
The final discussion draws together implications and limits of the scenarios rather than presenting a single forecast as inevitable. Readers will find extensive charts and tables, a comparison with other foresight exercises, methodological material, and references. This is the complete 2018 report, retaining its original statistical illustrations, explanatory chapters, and publisher notices.
FAO. 2018. The future of food and agriculture – Alternative pathways to 2050. Rome. 224 pp. Licence: CC BY-NC-SA 3.0 IGO. © FAO, 2018. Original edition and all credits retained. Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/igo/.